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4th Quarter 2012 Germany Market Snapshot Series (MSS) Report on Dental Practice Activity - Industry Remains Afloat Despite Weak Economic Growth
Report #: 121133-102
Regional Market Covered: Germany
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The 4th Quarter 2012 edition of OMNIDEN™ - AFG Research’s international dental omnibus - included several questions designed to gather dentists’ opinions regarding the current state of the German economy and the way their practice has been affected by the current economic environment. Results for these questions are made available as part of a new report titled: “4th Quarter 2012 Germany Market Snapshot Series (MSS) Report on Dental Practice Activity - Industry Remains Afloat Despite Weak Economic Growth”.
Specifically, AFG Research probed into what 150 dentists in Germany think about the current economic environment and the challenges faced by their practice (1,150 dentists since the 2nd quarter 2011). As part of this study, AFG Research measured the changes experienced in the volume of twenty different dental procedures during the past six months, including direct restorations, implant procedures and many others.
The economies of Germany and the European Union closed 2012 with no clear signs of economic revival for the coming months. Economic growth in the Euro Area was estimated at a negative 0.1% in the third quarter of 2012, while Germany’s growth was positive but too weak to guarantee a sustained growth trend beyond the first quarter of 2013. Furthermore, the unemployment problems in Greece and Spain – whose unemployment rates exceed 25% - are likely to dwarf the prospects of an euro-wide economic recovery in the short term. Outside of Europe, the overall slowdown of world trade is likely to attenuate German economic growth moving forward. The German economy is forecasted to grow by 0.5% in 2013 and by 2% for 2014, according to the OECD.
The Federal Statistics Office of Germany (Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland) estimated the seasonally-adjusted quarterly growth of GDP for the third quarter of 2012 at 0.2% - below the 0.5% recorded in the first quarter and the 0.3% growth recorded in the second quarter. Industrial production (total industry excluding construction) has also followed a downward trend over the past few months: a 1.2% monthly growth was recorded in this sector in July, with growth becoming increasingly negative in August (-0.2%), September (-1.6%) and October (-2.4%). On the other hand, the German annual inflation rate as measured in November 2012 was 1.9%, slightly below the 2.1%-2.2% level recorded in the preceding three months.
Despite a weak growth performance, Germany’s unemployment rate continues to be low. The overall seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was estimated at 5.4% in September and October of 2012, slightly under the 5.5% estimated in the preceding five months . It must be noted that German unemployment is around half of the overall Eurozone unemployment (10.7%) and is only higher than Austrian and Luxembourgish unemployment.
The most up-to-date Ifo Business Survey reveals that the German business climate for industry and trade improved slightly in the month of November, after a consistent six-month decline. In the view of the Ifo Institute, companies have recently expressed “slightly greater satisfaction with their current business situation” and were also “less pessimistic […] with regard to the six-month business outlook” . The overall Ifo Business Climate Index decreased from 106.7 in May 2012 to 100.0 in October, to increase slightly to 101.4 in November. Similarly, the Ifo Business Expectations Index decreased during the same period, from 100.7 in May to 93.2 in October and is now at a slightly higher 95.2 level (Index: 2005=100).
The following views and opinions provide a more detailed description of Germany’s current economic performance and upcoming challenges:
“Germany and the euro crisis: Slow, but popular”, The Economist, December 8, 2012.
“Bundesbank sees German economy shrinking”, Deutsche Welle, December 17, 2012.
“A Step Forward in the Euro Crisis”, The New York Times, December 14, 2012.
“Euro Crisis Will Linger: Merkel Tells Summit”, The Wall Street Journal, December 14, 2012.
This quarter’s report continues to analyze current and expected production for 20 key dental procedures. It also focuses on two measures for tracking both the current state and the expected state of dental practice activities over the last 4 quarters: the “AFG Research Current Dental Practice Activity Index” and the “AFG Research Dental Practice Activity Expectations Index”. These indices, each of which is constructed from the re-scaled results of twelve questions (six questions on current practice conditions and six questions on expected practice conditions), provide a clear and concise view on the evolution of current business perceptions and expectations over the recent period.
The report will help dental manufacturers and distributors to: a) assess the current business environment of the industry, b) better understand the ways in which dentists across Germany are coping with changes in the economic environment, c) identify key opportunities for adapting their business to better address the needs of their customers d) track the changes in key dental business activities during both the recessionary and post-recessionary periods, and e) identify future trends and developments to better forecast business activity in 2013 and beyond.
- Influence of the German economy on dental practices (current and historical levels by specialty and segment)
- Current dental practice current activity index
- Perceived conditions of the German economy & practice activity (local economy, business conditions, revenues, profitability and technology investments, practice daily calendar, conversion rate for elective procedures)
- Expected dental practice activity index
- Expected conditions of the German economy & practice activity (local economy, business conditions, revenues, profitability and technology investments, practice daily calendar, conversion rate for elective procedures)
- Dental procedure volume analysis (current and historical levels by specialty and segment)
- Dental procedure volume variations in past 6 months
- Dental procedure volume variation expectations for next 6 months
- Number of patients seen per week (current and historical levels)
- Number of orthodontic cases & Invisalign patients (by age group of patients)
- Dental impression methods (conventional versus digital impressions)
- Practice expansion intentions (add new operatory, practice relocation, add new office)
Dental Procedures Covered:
- Direct anterior & posterior fillings / restorations
- Whitening / bleaching
- Cleaning / prophylaxis
- Sealant cases
- Fluoride treatment
- Enamel shaping
- Treatment planning & diagnostic
- Dental crowns
- Dental bridges
- Root canal treatment
- Endodontic post
- Orthodontic braces / appliance
- Removable dentures
- Full dentures
Regional Market Covered: Germany
Data Collection Date: December 2012
Report and Data Availability:
- Online report (MarketSight) available using name-based account
- 200 key charts presented by key topics (current and expected practice activity metrics, procedure volume and variations)
- 300 online charts and summary tables
- Summary of key findings and executive summary
- Downloadable report (MS PowerPoint)
- Cross-tabulation of survey results by multiple classification questions (MS Excel available to subscribers only)
Information on Report License:
Site License: This license allows for use of the report by an unlimited number of people within the same enterprise location. Each of these people may use the report on any computer, and may print out the report, but may not share the report (or any information contained therein) with any person or persons outside of the enterprise location. Customers who infringe these license terms are liable for a Global Site license fee.
Global Site License: This license allows for use of the report by an unlimited number of people within the same enterprise worldwide. Each of these people may use the report on any computer, and may print out the report, but may not share the report (or any information contained therein) with any other person or persons outside of the enterprise. Please contact us for details.
DTA Members Discount:
AFG Research is a member of the Dental Trade Alliance (DTA)
Any organization which is currently a member of the Dental Trade Alliance (DTA) is eligible to an additional discount on the report license fees. Please request your coupon code if applicable.
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- Dental Practice Technology in Germany 2nd Quarter 2012
- Dental Practice Activity in Germany 1st Quarter 2012
- Dental Practice Technology in Germany 1st Quarter 2012
- Dental Practice Activity in Germany 4th Quarter 2011
- Dental Practice Technology in Germany 4th Quarter 2011
- Dental Practice Activity in Germany 3rd Quarter 2011
- Dental Practice Technology in Germany 3rd Quarter 2011
- Dentists and U.S. Economy 3rd Quarter 2011 - Growing Pessimism
- Dentists and U.S. Economy 2nd Quarter 2011 - Stalling Economy, Stalling Business
- Dentists and U.S. Economy 1st Quarter 2011 - Sustained Practice Activity
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